Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.044736 0.052180 0.060467 0.070374 0.081896 0.094878 0.110617
2025-10-26 0.033406 0.043185 0.055216 0.071104 0.091541 0.116961 0.151013
2025-11-02 0.027287 0.038168 0.052621 0.073218 0.101833 0.140223 0.195724
2025-11-09 0.021816 0.032561 0.047761 0.070824 0.104961 0.153692 0.228698
2025-11-16 0.018450 0.029124 0.045067 0.070601 0.110516 0.170629 0.268286
2025-11-23 0.015781 0.026188 0.042503 0.069925 0.114928 0.186014 0.307187
2025-11-30 0.014084 0.024457 0.041453 0.071300 0.122498 0.206945 0.357319
2025-12-07 0.012322 0.022317 0.039375 0.070572 0.126321 0.222029 0.399482
2025-12-14 0.010676 0.020113 0.036844 0.068629 0.127642 0.232817 0.435326
2025-12-21 0.009288 0.018161 0.034467 0.066574 0.128373 0.242462 0.470091
2025-12-28 0.008546 0.017305 0.033961 0.067883 0.135437 0.264371 0.530401
2026-01-04 0.007783 0.016297 0.033020 0.068196 0.140559 0.283121 0.586841
2026-01-11 0.007073 0.015315 0.032031 0.068343 0.145496 0.302369 0.647396
2026-01-18 0.006534 0.014613 0.031522 0.069415 0.152490 0.326652 0.721727
2026-01-25 0.006148 0.014185 0.031521 0.071553 0.162009 0.357307 0.813694
2026-02-01 0.005444 0.012946 0.029609 0.069229 0.161411 0.366208 0.858804
2026-02-08 0.004982 0.012200 0.028689 0.069013 0.165521 0.385909 0.930951
2026-02-15 0.004542 0.011442 0.027642 0.068353 0.168489 0.403339 1.000002
2026-02-22 0.004275 0.011069 0.027445 0.069698 0.176404 0.433184 1.102737
2026-03-01 0.003914 0.010407 0.026469 0.068986 0.179166 0.451042 1.178164
2026-03-08 0.003527 0.009625 0.025095 0.067086 0.178674 0.460853 1.234444
2026-03-15 0.003175 0.008891 0.023748 0.065078 0.177635 0.469147 1.287853
2026-03-22 0.003013 0.008645 0.023641 0.066357 0.185488 0.501245 1.409017